Richmond Kickers vs Portland Hearts of Pine – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
17/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.743.15
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
85% (432/508)74% (206/278)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.743.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.974.71
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
2332
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
98
Passes
85% (432/508)74% (206/278)
Long passes
61% (44/72)29% (13/45)
Passes in final third
78% (97/124)71% (98/138)
Crosses
10% (2/20)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.79
Throw-ins
2020
Fouls
89
Tackles
73% (8/11)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3834
Clearances
3230
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
4.710.97
Goals prevented
-0.29-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', Espinal D. 🟨,
  • 12', 0 - 1, Varela W. ,
  • 20', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Espinal D. , Howell B. (A),
  • 27', 1 - 2, Wright O. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 52', 1 - 3, Wada M. , Washington T. (A),
  • 58', Cela K. 🟨,
  • 62', Cela K. , Billhardt A. ,
  • 67', Washington T. , Southern E. ,
  • 67', Varela W. , Kamara J. ,
  • 67', Wright O. , Kvifte N. H. ,
  • 69', 1 - 4, Wada M. , Southern E. (A),
  • 73', Espinal D. , Anderson H. ,
  • 73', Seufert N. , Baer R. ,
  • 73', Kirkland J. , Johnson L. ,
  • 73', Howell B. , Schenfeld M. ,
  • 74', Poon-Angeron M. , Langlois P. ,
  • 76', 2 - 4, Anderson H. , Schenfeld M. (A),
  • 84', Fitch S. 🟨,
  • 84', Wada M. (Pen),
  • 84', 2 - 5, Wada M. ,
  • 87', Mohamed M. , Wright S. ,
  • 88', Wright S. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Richmond Kickers
34.8%
Draw
26.5%
Portland Hearts of Pine
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 26.4% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8% 26.1% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Richmond Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Richmond Kickers - Portland Hearts of Pine Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.49)
    3.46
    (3.42)
    2.38
    (2.41)
    8.9%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Richmond Kickers - Portland Hearts of Pine?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hearts of Pine (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
    • In recent matches, Richmond Kickers has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hearts of Pine is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Richmond Kickers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Richmond Kickers - Portland Hearts of Pine were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine - Richmond Kickers 0:0
    Latest results of Richmond Kickers
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1One Knoxville852112:6617
    2Union Omaha750212:7515
    3Spokane Velocity742111:8314
    4FC Naples84229:7214
    5Forward Madison53118:5310
    6Portland Hearts of Pine62317:439
    7Boise522110:648
    8Westchester SC721412:14-27
    9Richmond Kickers62135:7-27
    10New York Cosmos721412:16-47
    11Sarasota Paradise82157:13-67
    12Greenville52038:9-16
    13Charlotte Independ512210:825
    14Fort Wayne51225:8-35
    15Chattanooga Red Wolves31114:404
    16AV Alta60427:11-44
    17Corpus Christi FC60335:11-63

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)