Result
1:0
27/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (289/365) | 70% (197/280) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (289/365) | 70% (197/280) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (31/60) | 29% (17/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (58/106) | 50% (36/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', Garcia J. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
- 64', Perez Balcazar J. E. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 65', Ricaurte A. 🟨,
- 69', Figueroa J. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 0, Rivaldo J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', Ricaurte A. ↓, Lara Vasquez N. ↑,
- 73', Obregon J. ↓, Suarez Chalare F. A. ↑,
- 76', Pardo F. ↓, Fernandez W. ↑,
- 76', Castillo J. ↓, Meza Mercado E. W. ↑,
- 76', Rosales Y. ↓, Banguero E. ↑,
- 84', Cantillo F. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
- 86', Roa J. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
- 87', Lozano D. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
- 90', Salazar A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Hernandez D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rionegro Águilas
46.1% | Draw
30.3% | Alianza Valledupar
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rionegro Águilas's form might have worsened.Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rionegro Águilas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.74) |
3.1 ↓
(3.3) |
3.97 ↓
(4.7) |
7%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Alianza will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rionegro Águilas: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Rionegro Águilas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Rionegro Águilas could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:2. (average 1.3:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Alianza Valledupar?
Rionegro Águilas has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Rionegro Águilas?
Alianza Valledupar has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
18.10.2025
Rionegro Águilas
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:0
04.06.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Rionegro Águilas
4:0
26.04.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Rionegro Águilas
0:0
06.11.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Rionegro Águilas
3:0
17.04.2024
Rionegro Águilas
-
Alianza Valledupar
4:0
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 33:13 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 28 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 22 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 16 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
