Junior Barranquilla vs Alianza Valledupar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/03/2026 at 20:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.351.39
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
73
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
124
Passes
77% (330/429)66% (144/219)
Yellow cards
34
Expected goals (xG)
1.351.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.230.91
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
75
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
118
Shots outside the box
73
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
3118
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free kicks
1210
Passes
77% (330/429)66% (144/219)
Long passes
47% (21/45)27% (15/55)
Passes in final third
69% (98/143)52% (30/58)
Crosses
17% (5/30)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.47
Throw ins
2217
Fouls
1012
Tackles
100% (11/11)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3742
Clearances
1335
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
0.910.23
Goals prevented
-0.09-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Barrios C. ,
  • 41', Suarez Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Munoz J. , Pardo F. ,
  • 46', Esparragoza C. , Cantillo F. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Lucumi C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 64', Muriel L. , Gutierrez T. ,
  • 64', Rivas J. , Canchimbo J. ,
  • 72', Cantillo F. 🟨,
  • 79', Paiva G. , Bacca C. ,
  • 79', Barrios C. , Castrillon B. ,
  • 80', Guerrero J. 🟨,
  • 80', Londono Y. , Villegas C. ,
  • 81', Wallens J. 🟨,
  • 83', Celis G. 🟨,
  • 87', Suarez Y. , Socarras D. ,
  • 89', Castillo J. , Meza Mercado E. W. ,
  • 90', Meza Mercado E. W. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Lucumi C. , Franco P. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/399yex38

Chances of winning


Junior Barranquilla
61.3%
Draw
24%
Alianza Valledupar
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 22.6% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7% 21.7% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.48)
    3.92
    (4.12)
    6.32
    (6.5)
    7.2%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 4.
    • Recent performances by Junior have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Alianza's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Junior is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:12. (average 1.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla 0:1
    19.04.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 2:0
    04.08.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 2:2
    04.02.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla 0:1
    14.09.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla 1:5
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 16121333:132037
    2Dep. Pasto1694322:17531
    3Junior1691624:20428
    4Deportes Tolima1676324:141027
    5Once Caldas1668226:19726
    6Inter Bogotu00e11667320:21-125
    7America De Cali1573519:12724
    8Dep. Cali1665518:14423
    9Bucaramanga1657423:14922
    10Millonarios1664626:18822
    11Aguilas1664616:20-422
    12Llaneros1649317:15221
    13Santa Fe1648419:20-120
    14Ind. Medellin1545621:22-117
    15Fortaleza1537517:23-616
    16Cucuta1636721:27-615
    17Alianza1636711:24-1315
    18Jaguares de Cordoba16421014:28-1414
    19Chico15321011:26-1511
    20Pereira1607914:29-157

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )