Almería vs Deportivo La Coruña – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 22
  • Referee: Gonzalez M. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
austriaAustriaDAZN
chileChileDirecTV Sports
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
finlandFinlandMTV Urheilu 3
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Sportkanalen
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.261.77
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1221
Shots on target
36
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
22
Passes
88% (400/455)87% (365/418)
Yellow cards
43
Expected goals (xG)
1.261.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.442.28
Total shots
1221
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
58
Blocked shots
47
Shots inside the box
610
Shots outside the box
611
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1225
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1716
Passes
88% (400/455)87% (365/418)
Long passes
72% (26/36)61% (38/62)
Passes in final third
74% (68/92)72% (75/104)
Crosses
22% (4/18)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.131.01
Throw ins
1118
Fouls
1617
Tackles
62% (8/13)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4143
Clearances
1918
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
2.280.44
Goals prevented
0.28-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Chirino D. 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Leo Baptistao , Embarba A. (A),
  • 36', Baba I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Hernandez Y. , Soriano M. (A),
  • 50', Hernandez Y. 🟨,
  • 56', Horta A. , Puigmal A. ,
  • 58', Comas A. 🟨,
  • 70', Leo Baptistao , de la Fuente M. ,
  • 70', Embarba A. , Melamed N. ,
  • 71', Stoichkov , Mella D. ,
  • 71', Eddahchouri Z. , Mulattieri S. ,
  • 76', Monte N. 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Mulattieri S. , Hernandez Y. (A),
  • 83', Cruz Luismi , Villares D. ,
  • 83', Jurado J. , Patino C. ,
  • 84', Baba I. , Thalys ,
  • 84', Centelles A. , Morcillo J. ,
  • 86', Mulattieri S. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Soriano M. , Carillo N. ,
  • 90+5', Arribas S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Almería
47.4%
Draw
27.1%
Deportivo La Coruña
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 26.7% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.6% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Deportivo La Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Coruña than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Almería - Deportivo La Coruña Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.91)
    3.47
    (3.48)
    3.63
    (3.76)
    6.6%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Almería - Deportivo La Coruña?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Deportivo will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 46.1%91.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Deportivo (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Almería will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 3 - 75%). Deportivo (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Almería will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Almería: Bonini F. (Hamstring Injury) Chumi (Knock) Fidel Cedillo Segura P. (Injury) Lopy D. (Muscle Injury) Melamed N. (Muscle Injury) Robertone L. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Deportivo: Bachmann D. (Injury) Navarro X. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Almería won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Deportivo La Coruña were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Almería 1:1
    09.02.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Almería 3:1
    17.11.2024 Almería - Deportivo La Coruña 2:1
    Latest results of Almería
    10.01.2026 Mirandés - Almería 2:2
    03.01.2026 Almería - Granada 3:2
    21.12.2025 Málaga - Almería 2:1
    14.12.2025 Almería - Burgos 1:2
    06.12.2025 FC Andorra - Almería 1:2
    Latest results of Deportivo La Coruña
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander352051072:541865
    2Dep. La Coruna351710853:381561
    3Almeria351871067:521561
    4Malaga35179958:411760
    5Burgos CF35179942:291360
    6Castellon351610958:431558
    7Las Palmas351512845:301557
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Andorra3513101251:47449
    10Gijon351471445:44149
    11Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    12Cordoba351391347:52-548
    13Granada CF3511121244:41345
    14Albacete3511111344:47-344
    15Leganes3510121340:38242
    16Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF351081733:48-1538
    19Zaragoza358101731:47-1634
    20Huesca35891835:53-1833
    21Mirandes35891837:56-1933
    22Cultural Leonesa35881931:56-2532

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation