Granada vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
26/04/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 37
  • Referee: Ais S. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.662.11
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
610
Big chances
15
Corner kicks
43
Passes
79% (269/341)77% (267/345)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.662.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.022.09
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
610
Shots off target
34
Blocked shots
25
Shots inside the box
812
Shots outside the box
37
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
15
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1420
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
1411
Passes
79% (269/341)77% (267/345)
Long passes
31% (15/48)42% (26/62)
Passes in final third
61% (43/71)62% (59/95)
Crosses
5% (1/19)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.321.31
Throw ins
3114
Fouls
1114
Tackles
56% (9/16)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4444
Clearances
1520
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
64
xGOT faced
2.091.02
Goals prevented
-1.91-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Aleman P. , Ruiz S. (A),
  • 14', 1 - 1, Arribas S. ,
  • 18', 1 - 2, Arribas S. , Embarba A. (A),
  • 37', Ruiz S. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 3, Arribas S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Hormigo D. , Gonzalez I. ,
  • 46', Ruiz S. , Saenz P. ,
  • 62', Dzodic S. 🟨,
  • 66', Leo Baptistao , Puigmal A. ,
  • 68', 1 - 4, de la Fuente M. , Munoz A. (A),
  • 69', Lemos A. , Casadesus P. ,
  • 69', Petit G. , Diocou B. ,
  • 73', Luna M. , Chumi ,
  • 80', Embarba A. , Morcillo J. ,
  • 80', de la Fuente M. , Thalys ,
  • 80', Lopy D. , Horta A. ,
  • 83', Diallo B. , Rodelas S. ,
  • 84', Diocou B. 🟨,
  • 90', Zidane L. , Astralaga A. ,
  • 90+1', Munoz A. , Centelles A. ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 4, Saenz P. ,

Chances of winning


Granada
31.2%
Draw
28.4%
Almería
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 27.5% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 27.7% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Granada's form might have worsened.
  • Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Granada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Granada - Almería Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (2.57)
    3.3
    (3.43)
    2.34
    (2.63)
    6.5%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Granada - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Almería will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 19%81%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Granada won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Granada: Pascual J. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Health problems) Chirino D. (Red Card) Melamed N. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Granada won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Granada won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Granada - Almería were as follows:
    03.01.2026 Almería - Granada 3:2
    05.04.2025 Granada - Almería 3:1
    30.11.2024 Almería - Granada 2:1
    18.02.2024 Granada - Almería 1:1
    01.10.2023 Almería - Granada 3:3
    Latest results of Granada
    12.04.2026 Granada - Leonesa 1:0
    06.04.2026 Castellón - Granada 3:2
    02.04.2026 Las Palmas - Granada 2:0
    28.03.2026 Granada - Huesca 4:2
    Latest results of Almería
    19.04.2026 Almería - Málaga 3:2
    05.04.2026 Almería - Leganés 2:1
    02.04.2026 Castellón - Almería 2:0
    29.03.2026 Almería - Real Sociedad B 5:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander372161075:552069
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Castellon3818101065:481764
    5Malaga381891166:491763
    6Las Palmas371712849:311863
    7Burgos CF3717101044:331161
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Gijon371571550:47352
    12Ceuta371491444:57-1351
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3711101640:48-843
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B371181846:54-841
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Huesca37991937:55-1836
    20Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation