Result
04/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Max |
Chances of winning
Gubbio
41.7% | Draw
30.5% | Carpi
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gubbio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Gubbio - Carpi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(1.99) |
2.99 ↓
(3.44) |
3.27 ↓
(3.41) |
10%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 3.
- Gubbio is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Carpi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gubbio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Gubbio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gubbio won against Carpi?
Gubbio has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carpi won against Gubbio?
Carpi has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gubbio - Carpi were as follows:
25.10.2025
Carpi
-
Gubbio
0:3
29.03.2025
Carpi
-
Gubbio
0:2
17.11.2024
Gubbio
-
Carpi
1:0
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49:19 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Ternana | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Juventus U23 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Pianese | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 39 |
| 8 | Pineto | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 10 | Livorno | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Forli | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Vis Pesaro | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 | Bra | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Torres | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | Perugia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
