Freiburg II vs Mainz II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)

Chances of winning


Freiburg II
41.4%
Draw
24.8%
Mainz II
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 24.1% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 24.1% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Mainz II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Freiburg II - Mainz II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.09)
    3.72
    (3.78)
    2.72
    (2.82)
    8.6%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg II won 3.
    • Freiburg II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Mainz II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mainz II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Freiburg II won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg II - Mainz II were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Freiburg II - Mainz II 1:3
    16.11.2024 Mainz II - Freiburg II 0:1
    Latest results of Freiburg II
    Latest results of Mainz II
    09.11.2025 Mainz II - FSV Frankfurt 0:1
    25.10.2025 Mainz II - Freiberg 2:1
    18.10.2025 Sandhausen - Mainz II 2:2
    11.10.2025 Mainz II - Balingen 2:0
    German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grossaspach21127262:303243
    2Freiberg20125343:182541
    3FC 08 Homburg2198444:271735
    4Mainz II2197534:28634
    5Walldorf21104744:41334
    6FSV Frankfurt20103732:24833
    7Sandhausen21103835:38-333
    8Steinbach Haiger2088440:281232
    9Stutt. Kickers21102929:30-132
    10Kassel2077635:30528
    11Eintracht Trier2084835:33228
    12Offenbach2076734:36-227
    13Fulda-Lehnerz2168732:29326
    14Freiburg II2175942:49-726
    15Alzenau20441224:42-1816
    16Balingen21441323:53-3016
    17Schott Mainz21341424:47-2313
    18Bahlinger20251318:47-2911

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