Result
1:0
26/10/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 8
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 1 - 0, Grande I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Santurtzi
47.5% | Draw
28.3% | San Ignacio
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santurtzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santurtzi's performance.San Ignacio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Ignacio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santurtzi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Ignacio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Santurtzi - San Ignacio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.28) |
3.26 ↑
(3.05) |
3.81 ↑
(2.92) |
8.5%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santurtzi won 1.
- Santurtzi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, San Ignacio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Santurtzi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Santurtzi won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santurtzi won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.5:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Santurtzi won against San Ignacio?
Santurtzi has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Ignacio won against Santurtzi?
San Ignacio has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santurtzi - San Ignacio were as follows:
30.03.2025
Santurtzi
-
San Ignacio
0:0
17.11.2024
San Ignacio
-
Santurtzi
2:0
Latest results of Santurtzi
Latest results of San Ignacio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | UD Aretxabaleta | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Leioa | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Derio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Lagun Onak | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:11 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Touring KE | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | San Ignacio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Eibar C | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Durango | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad C | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | Santurtzi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Zamudio | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | SD Deusto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Alaves C | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:16 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Anorga | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
