Result
2:2
01/03/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 24
- Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (389/454) | 84% (376/449) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (389/454) | 84% (376/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (26/40) | 39% (20/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (52/77) | 69% (83/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Senaya M. ⚽, Diomande S. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Dieng B. ⚽, Yongwa D. (A),
- 20', Dieng B. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 2, Casimir J. ⚽, Namaso D. (A),
- 29', Namaso D. 🟨,
- 29', 2 - 2, Dieng B. ⚽, Pagis P. (A),
- 45', Sinayoko L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Senaya M. 🟨,
- 71', Abergel L. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
- 72', Makengo J. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
- 80', Pagis P. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
- 81', Dieng B. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
- 81', Casimir J. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
- 90', Le Bris T. ↓, Katseris P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lorient
45.3% | Draw
29.4% | Auxerre
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Lorient - Auxerre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.11) |
3.24 ↑
(3.2) |
3.77 ↑
(3.67) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lorient - Auxerre?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - Lorient (1.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Auxerre (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lorient will win
(41 of 48 users predict this - 85.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.44% – 95.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lorient will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Lorient (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Auxerre (votes: 1 - 7.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 2.
- Lorient is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Auxerre's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lorient will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lorient: Fadiga B.
(Injury)
Faye A.
(Foot Injury)
Kouassi A.
(Injury)
Leroy B.
(Injury)
Sanusi T.
(Injury)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly L.
(Injury)
Devernois T.
(Injury)
El Azzouzi O.
(Injury)
Faivre R.
(Injury)
Sierralta F.
(Injury)
Siwe T.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Auxerre?
Lorient has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Lorient?
Auxerre has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Auxerre were as follows:
17.08.2025
Auxerre
-
Lorient
1:0
26.02.2023
Lorient
-
Auxerre
0:1
16.09.2022
Auxerre
-
Lorient
1:3
Latest results of Lorient
Latest results of Auxerre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
