Southampton U21 vs Derby County U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Ajibola A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
75
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
21
Corner Kicks
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Oyekunle N. ,
  • 32', 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Oyekunle N. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Richards J. , Wilson C. ,
  • 46', Allen C. , Tola M. ,
  • 47', Wheeldon L. 🟨,
  • 48', 3 - 0, Merry W. , Akachukwu R. (A),
  • 57', Oguntolu J. , Osong J. ,
  • 57', Stokes G. , Gough B. ,
  • 61', Akachukwu R. , Charles B. ,
  • 61', Merry W. , Gathercole H. ,
  • 73', Whittaker R. , Moore J. ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Osayande A. ,
  • 87', 4 - 1, Charles B. ,
  • 88', Bragg C. , Daley A. ,
  • 90+5', Gough B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Southampton U21
76.5%
Draw
13.4%
Derby County U21
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.9% 16.6% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 15.7% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southampton U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southampton U21's performance.
  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton U21 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.35)
    7.37
    (5.52)
    9.8
    (5.89)
    1.3%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Southampton U21 - Derby County U21?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • S`hampton U21 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Derby U21 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, S`hampton U21 is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, S`hampton U21 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Derby County U21 - Southampton U21 0:0
    15.12.2023 Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 2:1
    31.03.2023 Derby County U21 - Southampton U21 1:3
    06.01.2023 Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 3:0
    Latest results of Southampton U21
    English Premier League 2 Table
    2025/26
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    2Manchester Utd U2117114239:221737
    3Liverpool U2119112648:311735
    4Fulham U2118105344:281635
    5Manchester City U2117111551:193234
    6Ipswich U2117111538:37134
    7Southampton U211896334:27733
    8Leicester U211884643:37628
    9West Ham U211876538:30827
    10Brighton U211875633:25826
    11Tottenham U211782736:30626
    12Arsenal U211775526:28-226
    13Crystal Palace U211774629:28125
    14Middlesbrough U211866635:27824
    15Sunderland U211773735:35024
    16Wolves U211764729:39-1022
    17Everton U211763824:26-221
    18Aston Villa U211563626:30-421
    19Reading U211763823:32-921
    20Newcastle Utd U211755726:30-420
    21Nottingham U2118621018:23-520
    22Stoke City U211754825:39-1419
    23Leeds U211753924:33-918
    24West Brom U2118531025:36-1118
    25Norwich U211845928:38-1017
    26Birmingham U211744924:43-1916
    27Burnley U2118331222:40-1812
    28Blackburn U2116321122:38-1611
    29Derby U211625921:39-1811

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