Lugano vs Mercedes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
17/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 22

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
01
Shots on target
01
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
01
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Amado L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Lugano
45%
Draw
31%
Mercedes
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 31.4% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 30.4% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Lugano - Mercedes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.92)
    2.91
    (2.9)
    3.77
    (4.3)
    10.9%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lugano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lugano is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Mercedes were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Mercedes - Lugano 1:1
    26.10.2024 Mercedes - Lugano 2:2
    27.05.2024 Lugano - Mercedes 0:0
    09.10.2023 Mercedes - Lugano 2:1
    02.07.2023 Lugano - Mercedes 2:1
    Latest results of Lugano
    03.08.2025 Lugano - Puerto Nuevo 1:0
    20.07.2025 Berazategui - Lugano 3:0
    12.07.2025 Lugano - Ituzaingó 1:2
    Latest results of Mercedes
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Berazategui22007:256
    2Lugano22005:056
    3Mercedes22003:036
    4CSR Espanol21015:233
    5Estrella Del Sur21014:313
    6Victoriano A21012:113
    7Puerto Nuevo21012:203
    8Juventud Unida S. M21011:103
    9Sacachispas21011:3-23
    10Leandro N. Alem21014:7-33
    11Argentino de Rosario20112:3-11
    12Def. de Cambaceres20112:4-21
    13Justo Jose de Urquiza20020:4-40
    14Deportivo Paraguayo20021:7-60


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Barracas22003:036
    2General Lamadrid21103:124
    3Central Ballester21102:024
    4Canuelas11002:113
    5Central Cordoba11001:013
    6Yupanqui21012:3-13
    7El Porvenir10101:101
    8Leones de Rosario10100:001
    9Deportivo Espanol20111:2-11
    10Club Lujan20111:2-11
    11Claypole20111:2-11
    12Deportivo Muniz20110:1-11
    13Fenix20111:3-21
    14Atlas20110:2-21

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