Result
1:2
16/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 11
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', 1 - 0, Marcos ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 74', 🟥,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marbellí 35.8% | Draw 31.2% | Mijas-Las Lagunas 33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marbellí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marbellí's form might have worsened.Mijas-Las Lagunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marbellí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mijas-Las Lagunas than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Marbellí - Mijas-Las Lagunas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.55 ↑ (2.22) |
2.93 ↓ (3.2) |
2.76 ↓ (2.96) |
9.6% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).
- In recent matches, Marbellí has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mijas-Las Lagunas is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Marbellí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marbellí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Marbellí won against Mijas-Las Lagunas?
Marbellí has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mijas-Las Lagunas won against Marbellí?
Mijas-Las Lagunas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marbellí - Mijas-Las Lagunas were as follows:
24.11.2024
Mijas-Las Lagunas
-
Marbellí
1:2
Latest results of Marbellí
Latest results of Mijas-Las Lagunas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Motril | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 46:22 | 24 | 54 |
| 2 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 31:17 | 14 | 51 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | Torre del Mar | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 32:21 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 43 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 29:22 | 7 | 40 |
| 7 | Torredonjimeno | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 32:31 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Huetor Vega | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 36 |
| 10 | Granada CF B | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 35 |
| 11 | UD San Pedro | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26:31 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | Melilla B | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 19:22 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | CD Alhaurino | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Martos | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 30 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32:36 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | Mancha | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21:30 | -9 | 27 |
| 17 | El Palo | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Torreperogil | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 15:36 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
Relegation