Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Aguilar Rosello P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 🟥,
- 71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+6', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Arenas Armilla
43.6% | Draw
30.5% | Marbellí
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Marbellí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Arenas Armilla - Marbellí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.95) |
3 ↓
(3.1) |
3.53 ↓
(3.76) |
9.5%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Arenas Armilla - Marbellí?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arenas Armilla (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Arenas Armilla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arenas Armilla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Arenas Armilla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Arenas Armilla won against Marbellí?
Arenas Armilla has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marbellí won against Arenas Armilla?
Marbellí has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arenas Armilla - Marbellí were as follows:
26.10.2025
Marbellí
-
Arenas Armilla
1:0
22.12.2024
Arenas Armilla
-
Marbellí
1:0
Latest results of Arenas Armilla
Latest results of Marbellí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 42:20 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Motril | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 53:28 | 25 | 61 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 36:24 | 12 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 | Torredonjimeno | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | 3 | 50 |
| 6 | Churriana de la Vega | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 30:40 | -10 | 49 |
| 7 | Marbelli | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 34:28 | 6 | 48 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 33 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 40:37 | 3 | 46 |
| 10 | Granada CF B | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 | Huetor Vega | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 40:40 | 0 | 42 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 14 | Martos | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:44 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Mancha | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 29:37 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Huetor Tajar | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:43 | -6 | 34 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 22:44 | -22 | 30 |
| 18 | El Palo | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 28:51 | -23 | 27 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
