Result
1:2
03/11/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (307/371) | 89% (544/610) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (307/371) | 89% (544/610) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (29/59) | 57% (24/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (49/81) | 81% (137/170) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Al Dawsari S. ⚽, Cancelo J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Fadlalla S. ↓, Al Ganehi A. ↑,
- 62', Sano S. 🟨,
- 66', 0 - 2, Kaio Cesar ⚽, Hernandez T. (A),
- 71', Sassi F. ↓, Al Oui A. ↑,
- 71', Surag A. ↓, Gunnarsson A. ↑,
- 74', Al Dawsari S. ↓, Marcos Leonardo ↑,
- 74', Cancelo J. ↓, Al Yami H. ↑,
- 75', Coman F. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
- 79', Marcos Leonardo 🟨,
- 80', Neves R. ↓, Al Malki A. ↑,
- 87', Kaio Cesar ↓, Darisi A. ↑,
- 87', Al Hamdan A. ↓, Radif A. ↑,
- 90+8', 1 - 2, Al Oui A. ⚽, Djalo A. (A),
Chances of winning
Al-Gharafa
8.7% | Draw
14% | Al-Hilal
77.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Gharafa's form might have worsened.Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Hilal's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Gharafa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Hilal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Gharafa - Al-Hilal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.99 ↑
(6.2) |
6.84 ↑
(4.5) |
1.23 ↓
(1.47) |
4.9%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Al-Hilal?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Al-Hilal (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Al-Hilal (1.76) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Hilal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 10 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Al-Gharafa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al-Hilal is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Hilal is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Hilal?
Al-Gharafa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Hilal won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Hilal has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Gharafa - Al-Hilal were as follows:
03.12.2024
Al-Hilal
-
Al-Gharafa
3:0
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Latest results of Al-Hilal
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 1 |
