Arsenal vs PSV Eindhoven: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven
Result
2:2
12/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)
Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.48
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
913
Shots on Goal
75
Shots off Goal
15
Blocked Shots
13
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
54
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Free Kicks
99
Offsides
01
Fouls
99
Throw-ins
139
Touches in the Opposition Box
2015
Passes
87% (422/483)87% (408/467)
Passes in the final third
72% (78/108)70% (57/82)
Crosses
27% (4/15)22% (2/9)
Tackles
71% (5/7)67% (8/12)
Clearances Total
914
Interceptions
29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Zinchenko O. ⚽, Sterling R. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Perisic I. ⚽, Til G. (A),
  • 34', Babadi I. 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Rice D. ⚽, Sterling R. (A),
  • 42', Kiwior J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Schouten J. ↓, Veerman J. ↑,
  • 63', Rice D. 🟨,
  • 64', Rice D. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
  • 64', Merino M. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
  • 68', Perisic I. ↓, de Jong L. ↑,
  • 69', Obispo A. ↓, Boscagli O. ↑,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Driouech C. ⚽, Babadi I. (A),
  • 77', Nagalo A. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
  • 79', Zinchenko O. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
  • 79', White B. ↓, Timber J. ↑,
  • 79', Tierney K. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
  • 80', Driouech C. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
  • 90+3', Sterling R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arsenal
64.5%		Draw
21.3%		PSV Eindhoven
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.7% 18.6% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3% 17.7% 11.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal's form might have worsened.
  • PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
    •

    Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.49 ↑
    (1.37)    		 4.54 ↓
    (5.15)    		 6.76 ↓
    (8.16)    		 3.9%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 54 - 84.4%). PSV will win (votes: 7 - 10.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 75.5% – 93.3%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 7-1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • PSV could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Arsenal have a series of guest games.
    • Recently PSV have a series of home games.
    • In this match Arsenal is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Saka B. (Thigh Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in PSV: Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Pepi R. (Knee Injury) Tillman M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSV: Kuhn W. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:4 (average 2.6:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven were as follows:
    04.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:7
    12.12.2023 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:1
    20.09.2023 Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven 4:0
    27.10.2022 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 2:0
    20.10.2022 Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven 1:0
    Latest results of Arsenal
    09.03.2025 Manchester United - Arsenal 1:1 ✺
    04.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:7 ✺
    26.02.2025 Nottingham Forest - Arsenal 0:0 ✺
    22.02.2025 Arsenal - West Ham United 0:1 ✺
    15.02.2025 Leicester City - Arsenal 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    08.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen 2:1 ✺
    04.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:7 ✺
    01.03.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - PSV Eindhoven 3:2 ✺
    26.02.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles 1:2 ✺
    19.02.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Juventus 3:1 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
    Which TV channels are streaming of Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
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    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, TV8
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    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
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    united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin Media More
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