Result
3:2
13/03/2026 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Stars League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iraq | Iraqia Syriac |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Abdulrahim M. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, Temirov S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 74', 2 - 1, Temirov S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', 2 - 2, Ali M. ⚽,
- 90+17', 3 - 2, Temirov S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arbil
47.5% | Draw
30% | Al-Minaa
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arbil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Al-Minaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Arbil - Al-Minaa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.87) |
3.01 ↓
(3.2) |
4.02 ↓
(4.4) |
10.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Arbil - Al-Minaa?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arbil (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 14).
- Arbil is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Minaa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al-Minaa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Arbil is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 2.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arbil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 3.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Arbil won against Al-Minaa?
Arbil has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Minaa won against Arbil?
Al-Minaa has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arbil - Al-Minaa were as follows:
20.09.2025
Al-Minaa
-
Arbil
1:3
07.03.2025
Arbil
-
Al-Minaa
0:1
05.12.2024
Al-Minaa
-
Arbil
3:0
Latest results of Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 42:15 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 59 |
| 3 | Al Talaba | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 39:24 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Erbil | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 50 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 27 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35:25 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Zakho | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 9 | Newroz | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Al Naft | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Duhok | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Diyala | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 33 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 34:48 | -14 | 30 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30:36 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Al Minaa | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 24:32 | -8 | 26 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 28 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19:51 | -32 | 12 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 7:66 | -59 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
