Lugazi Municipal vs Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 24

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner kicks
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Ssebuufu F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Lugazi Municipal
17.6%
Draw
28.2%
Villa
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.6% 26.2% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3% 25.6% 61.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugazi Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lugazi Municipal - Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.09
    (6.66)
    3.18
    (3.46)
    1.66
    (1.51)
    11.4%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 4).
    • Lugazi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Villa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Villa is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugazi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lugazi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugazi Municipal - Villa were as follows:
    31.01.2026 Villa - Lugazi Municipal 0:0
    18.03.2025 Lugazi Municipal - Villa 0:1
    06.12.2024 Villa - Lugazi Municipal 1:1
    Latest results of Lugazi Municipal
    Latest results of Villa
    15.04.2026 Villa - Vipers 1:1
    19.03.2026 Villa - Maroons 1:0
    14.03.2026 Entebbe UPPC - Villa 0:2
    10.03.2026 Police - Villa 1:0
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers26178149:163359
    2Kitara26166438:152354
    3Kampala City26164637:201752
    4Villa26156538:142451
    5NEC FC261112326:161045
    6Police26135839:31844
    7Entebbe UPPC26127723:19443
    8BUL26971029:28134
    9Maroons26810825:21434
    10Express26791023:27-430
    11URA SC26413922:28-625
    12Lugazi26581319:34-1523
    13UPDF26561522:35-1321
    14Mbarara City26491321:39-1821
    15Buhimba26431916:56-4015
    16Calvary26271710:38-2813

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