Result
1:0
10/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Tezikya L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Police
33.9% | Draw
32.5% | Villa
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Police - Villa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.6) |
2.76 ↓
(2.98) |
2.67 ↑
(2.53) |
11.3%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 0.
- Recent performances by Police have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Villa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Villa has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Police won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Police won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against Villa?
Police has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Villa won against Police?
Villa has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Police - Villa were as follows:
24.10.2025
Villa
-
Police
2:1
13.12.2024
Villa
-
Police
1:1
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 49:16 | 33 | 59 |
| 2 | Kitara | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 38:15 | 23 | 54 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 37:20 | 17 | 52 |
| 4 | Villa | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38:14 | 24 | 51 |
| 5 | NEC FC | 26 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Police | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 44 |
| 7 | Entebbe UPPC | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 43 |
| 8 | BUL | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 9 | Maroons | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Express | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | URA SC | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19:34 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | UPDF | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 22:35 | -13 | 21 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 21:39 | -18 | 21 |
| 15 | Buhimba | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16:56 | -40 | 15 |
| 16 | Calvary | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 10:38 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
