Result
3:1
10/03/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 24
- Referee: Silva H. (Por)
Chances of winning
Moreirense 48.6% | Draw 27.5% | Penafiel 23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Moreirense - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.9 ↑ (1.85) |
3.33 ↓ (3.35) |
3.87 ↑ (3.63) |
8.6% (11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Moreirense - Penafiel?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Penafiel will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 52.1% – 90.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 2.
- Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
- In this match Moreirense is a favorite.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.
- Including matches at home between the teams Moreirense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Penafiel?
Moreirense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Moreirense?
Penafiel has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Penafiel were as follows:
17.11.2022
Penafiel
-
Moreirense
1:2
17.09.2022
Penafiel
-
Moreirense
1:1
Latest results of Moreirense
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 57 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 36:28 | 8 | 46 |
| 4 | Leiria | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Vizela | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | FC Porto B | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 41 |
| 7 | Sporting CP B | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 41:30 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Benfica B | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 40 |
| 9 | Lusitania FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 38 |
| 10 | Feirense | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Chaves | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 33:50 | -17 | 35 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 35 |
| 14 | Felgueiras | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 31:41 | -10 | 30 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3