Result
14/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 4
- Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 6 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Chances of winning
Lille
53.9% | Draw
24.4% | Toulouse
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Lille - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.8) |
3.99 ↑
(3.84) |
4.44 ↑
(4.4) |
3.1%
(4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lille - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.
- Lille is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Toulouse has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Lille is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Lille: Caillard M.
(Injury)
Meunier T.
(Groin Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Lille will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Toulouse?
Lille has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Lille?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Toulouse were as follows:
12.04.2025
Toulouse
-
Lille
1:2
05.10.2024
Lille
-
Toulouse
2:1
25.02.2024
Toulouse
-
Lille
3:1
12.11.2023
Lille
-
Toulouse
1:1
18.03.2023
Toulouse
-
Lille
0:2
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Lyon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Monaco | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 7 |
| 5 | Marseille | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Lens | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Nice | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Angers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Nantes | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Brest | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Metz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
