Result
1:1
03/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN App |
 Ecuador | DAZN App |
 France | BFM Marseille Provence, FFF TV |
 Mexico | DAZN App |
 Paraguay | DAZN App |
 Peru | DAZN App |
 World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Chahid Y. ⚽, Freitas R. (A),
- 20', Ndiaye O. ↓, El Asrar M. ↑,
- 34', El Kaddouri B. 🟨,
- 35', Wade P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', Boussaid W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Tlili K. 🟨,
- 57', Boussaid W. ↓, Sako B. ↑,
- 58', Chahid Y. 🟨,
- 64', Chibani N. ↓, Bentoumi M. ↑,
- 70', Wade P. ↓, Traore G. ↑,
- 73', Oudjani A. ↓, Mayilla E. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Nehari M. ⚽,
- 79', Freitas R. ↓, Koembo J. ↑,
- 80', Mupemba N. ↓, Verdier Y. ↑,
- 85', Nehari M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aubagne
35.3% | Draw
29.8% | Châteauroux
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aubagne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Aubagne - Châteauroux Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.43) |
3.07 ↓
(3.25) |
2.61 ↓
(2.67) |
9.4%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).
- Aubagne is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Châteauroux has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aubagne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aubagne won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 5.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Aubagne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Aubagne won against Châteauroux?
Aubagne has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Châteauroux won against Aubagne?
Châteauroux has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aubagne - Châteauroux were as follows:
31.10.2025
Châteauroux
-
Aubagne
0:3
25.04.2025
Aubagne
-
Châteauroux
6:2
13.12.2024
Châteauroux
-
Aubagne
2:7
Latest results of Aubagne
Latest results of Châteauroux
French National League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dijon | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 43:20 | 23 | 52 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 43:18 | 25 | 51 |
| 3 | Rouen | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 47 |
| 4 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 44 |
| 5 | Fleury-Merogis | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Versailles | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 35:28 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Orleans | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:35 | 0 | 43 |
| 8 | Valenciennes | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 9 | Villefranche | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 10 | Concarneau | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 | Caen | 27 | 5 | 15 | 7 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Paris 13 Atl | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 | Aubagne | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Bourg en Bresse | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22:38 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 | Chateauroux | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Quevilly Rouen | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Stade Briochin | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 2
Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
Relegation
