Result
2:2
06/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
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| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Hafid M. ⚽, Labonne R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Wade P. ↓, Jean C. ↑,
- 46', Kimboma J. 🟨,
- 55', Ahmed A. ↓, Boussaid W. ↑,
- 57', Botella I. ↓, Rajot L. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Etuin M. (Own goal),
- 71', Freitas R. ↓, Piquionne L. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Hafid M. ⚽, Henry V. (A),
- 75', Gnanduillet A. ↓, Duville-Parsemain A. ↑,
- 82', Duville-Parsemain A. 🟨,
- 86', 🟨,
- 87', Henry V. ↓, Vinicius Gomes ↑,
- 88', Mazie O. ↓, Portut K. ↑,
- 88', Koembo J. ↓, Mopila S. ↑,
- 90+2', Labonne R. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Bouaoune I. ⚽, Piquionne L. (A),
Chances of winning
Caen
48.6% | Draw
27.4% | Châteauroux
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Châteauroux could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Caen - Châteauroux Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(1.94) |
3.35 ↑
(3.29) |
3.84 ↑
(3.64) |
8.9%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caen won 0.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Châteauroux may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Caen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Caen won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Châteauroux?
Caen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Châteauroux won against Caen?
Châteauroux has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caen - Châteauroux were as follows:
26.09.2025
Châteauroux
-
Caen
2:1
Latest results of Châteauroux
French National League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dijon | 30 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 47:22 | 25 | 59 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 47:21 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Fleury-Merogis | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 51 |
| 4 | Rouen | 29 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 40:25 | 15 | 51 |
| 5 | Versailles | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 48 |
| 6 | Orleans | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 47 |
| 7 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 42:30 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | Caen | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 38:31 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Concarneau | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Villefranche | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 36 |
| 11 | Valenciennes | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | Aubagne | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 33 |
| 13 | Paris 13 Atl | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | Quevilly Rouen | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 33:42 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 | Chateauroux | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 27 |
| 16 | Bourg en Bresse | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 23:44 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | Stade Briochin | 29 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 28:47 | -19 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 2
Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
Relegation
