Mirandés vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
10/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.292.31
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
918
Shots on target
37
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
47
Passes
73% (211/288)84% (415/492)
Yellow cards
42
Expected goals (xG)
1.292.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.472.26
Total shots
918
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
38
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
59
Shots outside the box
49
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2026
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free kicks
1016
Passes
73% (211/288)84% (415/492)
Long passes
35% (19/54)52% (30/58)
Passes in final third
53% (42/80)76% (122/160)
Crosses
13% (2/16)27% (9/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.461.05
Throw ins
1717
Fouls
1610
Tackles
33% (5/15)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4144
Clearances
2714
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
51
xGOT faced
2.262.47
Goals prevented
0.260.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Hernandez J. ,
  • 29', Munoz A. 🟨,
  • 30', Fernandez C. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Munoz A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', 2 - 1, Hernandez J. , El Jebari S. (A),
  • 67', Hernandez J. , Cardero A. ,
  • 71', Cardero A. 🟨,
  • 71', Leo Baptistao , Puigmal A. ,
  • 71', Chirino D. , Luna M. ,
  • 71', Dzodic S. , Horta A. ,
  • 76', El Jebari S. , Mari A. ,
  • 76', Fernandez C. , Tamarit T. ,
  • 80', Centelles A. , Perovic M. ,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Arribas S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 87', Novoa Ramos H. , Cabello J. ,
  • 90+1', Helguera T. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Arribas S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Medrano F. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/35wuzbe2

Chances of winning


Mirandés
28.8%
Draw
28.1%
Almería
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 27.1% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9% 27.2% 46%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Mirandés - Almería Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (3.49)
    3.32
    (3.48)
    2.18
    (2.06)
    6.9%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Mirandés - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Almería will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 49.9%90.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 1 - 20%). Almería (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Mirandés (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Mirandés (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Almería (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 0.
    • Mirandés has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Almería has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Almería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Almería might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Mirandés: Clua S. (Injury) Lopez P. (Knee Injury) Pascual M. (Yellow Cards) Petit G. (Red Card) Postigo S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Almería: Bonini F. (Hamstring Injury) Chumi (Knock) Horta A. (Illness) Melamed N. (Muscle Injury) Soko P. (International duty) Thalys (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Fidel Cedillo Segura P. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mirandés won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirandés - Almería were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Mirandés - Almería 0:0
    13.12.2024 Almería - Mirandés 1:0
    Latest results of Mirandés
    02.01.2026 Eibar - Mirandés 2:1
    21.12.2025 Mirandés - Córdoba 1:2
    15.12.2025 Castellón - Mirandés 3:1
    08.12.2025 Las Palmas - Mirandés 0:0
    Latest results of Almería
    03.01.2026 Almería - Granada 3:2
    21.12.2025 Málaga - Almería 2:1
    14.12.2025 Almería - Burgos 1:2
    06.12.2025 FC Andorra - Almería 1:2
    03.12.2025 Eldense - Almería 2:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation