Almería vs Mirandés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/05/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Almería
63.9%
Draw
20.4%
Mirandés
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 18.3% 12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8% 17.4% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almería's form might have worsened.
  • Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Almería - Mirandés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.36)
    4.61
    (5.15)
    5.92
    (7.68)
    6.8%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Almería - Mirandés?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Mirandés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Almería is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Almería won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.7:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Mirandés were as follows:
    10.01.2026 Mirandés - Almería 2:2
    25.05.2025 Mirandés - Almería 0:0
    13.12.2024 Almería - Mirandés 1:0
    Latest results of Almería
    26.04.2026 Granada - Almería 2:4
    19.04.2026 Almería - Málaga 3:2
    05.04.2026 Almería - Leganés 2:1
    02.04.2026 Castellón - Almería 2:0
    Latest results of Mirandés
    26.04.2026 Mirandés - Leonesa 2:1
    12.04.2026 Mirandés - Castellón 2:2
    05.04.2026 Zaragoza - Mirandés 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander372161075:552069
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Castellon3818101065:481764
    5Malaga381891166:491763
    6Las Palmas371712849:311863
    7Burgos CF3717101044:331161
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Gijon371571550:47352
    12Ceuta371491444:57-1351
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3711101640:48-843
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B371181846:54-841
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Huesca37991937:55-1836
    20Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation