Parla vs Carabanchel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
23/11/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 12

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Pastor N. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Gonzalez V. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, El Hilali A. ,
  • 82', Ramirez de Arroba A. 🟥,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Ezequiel B. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Parla
41.6%
Draw
29.6%
Carabanchel
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 30% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 29.7% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Parla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Parla's performance.
  • Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carabanchel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parla than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Parla that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carabanchel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Parla - Carabanchel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.55)
    3.35
    (3)
    3.44
    (2.6)
    1%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Parla - Carabanchel?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Carabanchel (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carabanchel (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parla won 2.
    • Recent form of Parla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Carabanchel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Parla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Parla won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Parla won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Parla - Carabanchel were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Carabanchel - Parla 2:2
    15.12.2024 Parla - Carabanchel 1:0
    Latest results of Parla
    16.11.2025 Móstoles URJC - Parla 3:1
    02.11.2025 Racing Madrid - Parla 0:0
    26.10.2025 Parla - Las Rozas 1:2
    19.10.2025 Unión Adarve - Parla 2:0
    Latest results of Carabanchel
    16.11.2025 Carabanchel - Alcorcón B 2:3
    08.11.2025 México - Carabanchel 1:2
    02.11.2025 Carabanchel - Tres Cantos 0:0
    26.10.2025 Carabanchel - Galapagar 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C24137461:332846
    2Las Rozas24137441:251646
    3CD Mostoles24136540:281245
    4Leganes B24127544:172743
    5AD Torrejon24124839:33640
    6Pozuelo de Alarcon24910525:19637
    7Trival Valderas241041031:29234
    8Union Adarve2496926:30-433
    9San Sebastian Reyes B2489730:25533
    10Mexico FC24951032:32032
    11Galapagar24711625:32-732
    12Villaverde San Andres24710723:28-531
    13Carabanchel24681020:24-426
    14Alcorcon B24671121:27-625
    15Siello24731424:37-1324
    16Parla24641419:39-2022
    17Tres Cantos24631521:44-2321
    18Ciudad de Madrid24471323:43-2019

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