Result
3:1
05/04/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Gutierrez H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 2 - 0, Pastor F. ⚽,
- 60', 2 - 1, Manzano C. ⚽,
- 68', 3 - 1, Miguel Pacheco ⚽,
Chances of winning
Carabanchel 51.4% | Draw 28.7% | Parla 19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Parla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parla than the current prediction. (+2%)
Carabanchel - Parla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.86 ↑ (1.78) |
3.33 ↑ (3.2) |
4.8 ↑ (4.3) |
4.6% (10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 1.
- Carabanchel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Parla's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Carabanchel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Carabanchel is the team to beat.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carabanchel won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Carabanchel won against Parla?
Carabanchel has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Parla won against Carabanchel?
Parla has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carabanchel - Parla were as follows:
23.11.2025
Parla
-
Carabanchel
3:1
27.04.2025
Carabanchel
-
Parla
2:2
15.12.2024
Parla
-
Carabanchel
1:0
Latest results of Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 82:45 | 37 | 63 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 33 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 48:34 | 14 | 59 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 57 |
| 4 | Las Rozas | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 57:39 | 18 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 62:31 | 31 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43:42 | 1 | 50 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50:44 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 46 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Alcorcon B | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35:32 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | Villaverde San Andres | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 32:40 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Galapagar | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 43 |
| 13 | Mexico FC | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | Siello | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 36:45 | -9 | 41 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 30:33 | -3 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 33 | 10 | 3 | 20 | 39:62 | -23 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 29:65 | -36 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 31:71 | -40 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
Relegation