Parla vs Móstoles URJC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
29/03/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 28

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+4', Neves H. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', 1 - 0, ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Parla
22.4%
Draw
26.2%
Móstoles URJC
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18% 24.9% 57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4% 24.1% 58.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Parla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Móstoles URJC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parla than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Móstoles URJC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Parla - Móstoles URJC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.06
    (5.03)
    3.48
    (3.64)
    1.77
    (1.59)
    9.8%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parla won 0.
    • In recent matches, Parla has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Móstoles has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Parla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Móstoles is the team to beat.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Parla won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Parla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Parla - Móstoles URJC were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Móstoles URJC - Parla 3:1
    21.04.2024 Parla - Móstoles URJC 1:2
    03.12.2023 Móstoles URJC - Parla 2:2
    Latest results of Parla
    15.03.2026 Parla - Racing Madrid 0:2
    08.03.2026 Las Rozas - Parla 3:0
    01.03.2026 Parla - Unión Adarve 0:1
    Latest results of Móstoles URJC
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C33189682:453763
    2Trival Valderas331851048:341459
    3AD Torrejon33169856:461057
    4Las Rozas33168957:391856
    5Leganes B33159962:313154
    6Union Adarve331481143:42150
    7CD Mostoles331481150:44650
    8San Sebastian Reyes B331113941:35646
    9Pozuelo de Alarcon3311121037:32545
    10Alcorcon B3311101235:32343
    11Villaverde San Andres3310131032:40-843
    12Galapagar3310131039:46-743
    13Mexico FC331191343:48-542
    14Siello331251636:45-941
    15Carabanchel339111330:33-338
    16Tres Cantos331032039:62-2333
    17Parla33762029:65-3627
    18Ciudad de Madrid33572131:71-4022

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation