Result
4:1
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 24
- Referee: Baines D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (211/312) | 81% (418/516) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (211/312) | 81% (418/516) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (21/75) | 43% (28/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (52/102) | 74% (116/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 40% (8/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | -2.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Holicek M. ⚽,
- 20', Adelakun H. 🟨,
- 22', 2 - 0, March J. ⚽,
- 34', 3 - 0, Connolly J. ⚽, Demetriou M. (A),
- 43', 3 - 1, Miller G. ⚽, Archer E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 46', Adelakun H. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
- 62', Miller G. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 65', Holicek M. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
- 66', O'Reilly T. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
- 77', Sanders M. H. ↓, Thomas C. ↑,
- 77', 4 - 1, March J. ⚽, Agius C. (A),
- 84', Demetriou M. ↓, Croker P. ↑,
- 84', March J. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
- 88', Hutchinson I. ↓, Kinsella L. ↑,
- 88', Archer E. ↓, Power D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra
50.7% | Draw
25.8% | Cheltenham Town
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.68) |
3.62 ↓
(3.66) |
3.95 ↓
(4.52) |
7.3%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 1.
- Recent performances by Crewe have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cheltenham is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Crewe is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tezgel E.
(Ankle Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mazionis J.
(Inactive)
Miller G.
(Inactive)
Sherring S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Demetriou M.
(Inactive)
Golding J.
(Inactive)
Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
March J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Broom R.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Cheltenham Town?
Crewe Alexandra has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Crewe Alexandra?
Cheltenham Town has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
10.04.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Cheltenham Town
2:3
26.12.2024
Cheltenham Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
2:1
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
