Forest Green Rovers vs Tamworth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League
Result
4:2
11/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
195
Shots on target
133
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Total shots
195
Shots on target
133
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', Cullinane-Liburd J. 🟥,
  • 9', Ponticelli J. ↓, Hollis H. ↑,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Duku I. ⚽, Hollis H. (A),
  • 21', Moore-Taylor J. ↓, Haughton N. ↑,
  • 34', 1 - 1, McAllister K. (Pen),
  • 36', 2 - 1, Babalola T. ⚽, Mendy L. (A),
  • 45+1', Tonks T. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Whitwell H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Inniss R. ↓, Kanu A. ↑,
  • 59', 3 - 1, Babalola T. ⚽, Buyabu J. (A),
  • 60', Pemberton T. ↓, Knowles T. ↑,
  • 61', Moore I. ↓, Bunker H. ↑,
  • 66', Cockerill-Mollett C. ↓, Curley M. ↑,
  • 66', Maher R. ↓, Rye J. ↑,
  • 75', Clarke J. ↓, Dausch A. ↑,
  • 76', Enoru B. ↓, Lynch O. ↑,
  • 76', Duku I. ↓, Creaney D. ↑,
  • 81', 4 - 1, Haughton N. ⚽, McAllister K. (A),
  • 82', 4 - 2, Rye J. ⚽, Tonks T. (A),
  • 89', Buyabu J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Bates A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Forest Green Rovers
64.2%		Draw
20.8%		Tamworth
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 23.7% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 23.3% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forest Green Rovers's performance.
  • Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forest Green Rovers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
    •

    Forest Green Rovers - Tamworth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.46 ↓
    (1.55)    		 4.5 ↑
    (3.8)    		 6.12 ↑
    (5)    		 7.3%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Forest Green Rovers - Tamworth?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Tamworth will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Forest Green: 53.8% – 96.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • EH -1 - Forest Green (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Forest Green Rovers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Forest Green (votes: 4 - 80%). Tamworth (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Tamworth has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Forest Green is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Forest Green won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Forest Green Rovers - Tamworth were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Forest Green Rovers - Tamworth 3:0
    26.12.2024 Tamworth - Forest Green Rovers 1:1
    Latest results of Forest Green Rovers
    08.11.2025 Aldershot Town - Forest Green Rovers 2:3
    31.10.2025 Luton Town - Forest Green Rovers 4:3 ✺
    25.10.2025 Forest Green Rovers - Boreham Wood 2:1 ✺
    21.10.2025 Forest Green Rovers - Leicester City U21 2:3
    18.10.2025 Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers 4:2
    Latest results of Tamworth
    08.11.2025 Tamworth - Woking 0:1
    03.11.2025 Tamworth - Leyton Orient 0:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Tamworth - Boston United 1:3
    21.10.2025 Tamworth - Burnley U21 4:0
    18.10.2025 Aldershot Town - Tamworth 1:2 ✺
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale35274468:254385
    2York City36258394:355983
    3Carlisle35225864:422271
    4Boreham Wood35207868:442467
    5Forest Green361711860:421862
    6Scunthorpe341710760:491161
    7Southend32158953:302353
    8FC Halifax361581355:53253
    9Hartlepool3513121042:39351
    10Tamworth351291445:56-1145
    11Boston Utd3611111448:53-544
    12Solihull Moors3411101358:54443
    13Aldershot341261660:63-342
    14Yeovil341251737:47-1041
    15Altrincham351241941:54-1340
    16Woking321091343:40339
    17Sutton359121450:56-639
    18Wealdstone331091440:54-1439
    19Eastleigh351091644:60-1639
    20Brackley Town34991630:47-1736
    21Braintree35891827:51-2433
    22Morecambe36792049:77-2830
    23Gateshead33752139:76-3726
    24Truro35672234:62-2825

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

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