Tamworth vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
113
Yellow cards
10
Total shots
104
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
61
Corner kicks
113

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Bates A. , Kurtaran T. ,
  • 46', Conn-Clarke C. , Ajiboye D. ,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Wearne S. , Ajiboye D. (A),
  • 64', 1 - 1, Lynch O. , Creaney D. (A),
  • 75', Acquaye B. 🟨,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Lynch O. ,
  • 77', Rye J. , Curley M. ,
  • 78', Acquaye B. , Reindorf M. ,
  • 80', Gilliead A. , Parker H. ,
  • 84', Atkinson H. , Ellis J. ,
  • 90+2', Milnes B. , Tonks T. ,
  • 90+2', Mugabi B. , Thomas T. ,
  • 90+3', Milnes B. , Tonks T. ,

Chances of winning


Tamworth
29%
Draw
26.9%
Carlisle United
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 25.9% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5% 25.4% 51.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamworth that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tamworth - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.21
    (3.83)
    3.46
    (3.56)
    2.11
    (1.84)
    7.4%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Tamworth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Carlisle is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tamworth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Carlisle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tamworth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tamworth - Carlisle United were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Carlisle United - Tamworth 2:1
    Latest results of Tamworth
    10.03.2026 Wealdstone - Tamworth 3:2
    07.03.2026 Woking - Tamworth 3:1
    03.03.2026 Yeovil Town - Tamworth 2:0
    28.02.2026 Tamworth - Boreham Wood 3:2
    24.02.2026 Tamworth - Altrincham 5:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Bye
    2Scunthorpe (5)Southend (6)1 : 0
    3Carlisle (3)Bye
    4Boreham Wood (4)Forest Green (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Scunthorpe (5)2 : 1
    2Carlisle (3)Boreham Wood (4)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rochdale (2)Boreham Wood (4)