Result
4:0
26/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 28
- Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (379/438) | 89% (452/510) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (379/438) | 89% (452/510) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 44% (19/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (122/150) | 78% (93/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 2.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | -1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Bjerkebo I. ⚽, Lindberg M. (A),
- 39', Persson J. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 0, Castegren H. ⚽, Walta L. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Hellemaa A. ↓, Wenderson ↑,
- 58', Zeneli A. ↓, Rapp G. ↑,
- 60', Anker T. 🟨,
- 67', Silverholt T. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
- 69', Granli D. 🟨,
- 75', Sigurpalsson A. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
- 75', Buhari I. ↓, Hedlund S. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 0, Walta L. ⚽, Bjerkebo I. (A),
- 83', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Widgren D. ↑,
- 86', 4 - 0, Walta L. ⚽,
- 87', Persson J. ↓, Svensson V. ↑,
- 89', Lindberg M. ↓, Nartey M. ↑,
- 89', Ure R. ↓, Milleskog N. ↑,
- 90', Heier M. ↓, Vikman A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sirius
50.5% | Draw
23.5% | Elfsborg
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Sirius - Elfsborg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.7) |
3.99 ↓
(4) |
3.66 ↓
(3.95) |
6.1%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Sirius - Elfsborg?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Sirius will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Elfsborg will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sirius: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sirius (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 1.
- Sirius has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Elfsborg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sirius may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sirius could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Elfsborg: Hedlund S.
(Inactive)
Holmen S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sirius: Ljungberg A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 33:41. (average 1.7:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sirius won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 2.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sirius won against Elfsborg?
Sirius has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elfsborg won against Sirius?
Elfsborg has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sirius - Elfsborg were as follows:
23.04.2025
Elfsborg
-
Sirius
4:3
06.10.2024
Sirius
-
Elfsborg
4:1
29.04.2024
Elfsborg
-
Sirius
2:0
06.08.2023
Elfsborg
-
Sirius
1:0
08.05.2023
Sirius
-
Elfsborg
3:4
Latest results of Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby ✔ | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 56:18 | 38 | 72 |
| 2 | Hammarby ✔ | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 57:29 | 28 | 59 |
| 3 | GAIS ✔ | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 44:28 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | AIK | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 40:31 | 9 | 48 |
| 5 | Goteborg | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 6 | 48 |
| 6 | Djurgarden | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 46 |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 44:32 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 40 |
| 9 | Sirius | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 50:50 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | Hacken | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42:49 | -7 | 35 |
| 11 | Halmstad | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 22:50 | -28 | 32 |
| 12 | Brommapojkarna | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 39:44 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Norrkoping | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 40:55 | -15 | 29 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 30:51 | -21 | 27 |
| 15 | Oster | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28:45 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Varnamo ✔ | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 35:66 | -31 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mjallby is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hammarby is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
GAIS is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Varnamo is Relegated to Superettan
