Result
3:1
09/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 30
- Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.26 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 36 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (495/576) | 80% (283/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.26 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 36 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 17 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 23 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 77 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (495/576) | 80% (283/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 36% (13/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (188/233) | 69% (49/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (18/29) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Freij E. (Own goal),
- 33', Anker T. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 0, Jonsson N. O. ⚽, Krusnell O. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', 2 - 1, Alsalkhadi M. ⚽, Antonsson M. (A),
- 63', Meriluoto K. ↓, Diallo M. C. ↑,
- 65', Jonsson N. O. ↓, Milleskog N. ↑,
- 65', Krusnell O. ↓, Widgren D. ↑,
- 65', Heier M. ↓, Nartey M. ↑,
- 70', Liimatta O. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
- 76', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Svensson V. ↑,
- 82', Raudonis A. 🟨,
- 87', Raudonis A. ↓, Mohammed R. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 1, Anker T. ⚽, Widgren D. (A),
- 90', Ure R. ↓, Neat F. ↑,
- 90+3', Bjornstrom A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sirius
71.6% | Draw
16% | Värnamo
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sirius's performance.Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Sirius - Värnamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.45) |
5.72 ↑
(5.1) |
7.51 ↑
(5.85) |
6.4%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
- Värnamo is Relegated to Superettan
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 4.
- Sirius is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Värnamo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Värnamo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sirius is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Sirius: Ljungberg A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Värnamo: Coulibaly S.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Sirius: Sjogrell H.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Värnamo: Abdulrazak I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:9. (average 2.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sirius won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sirius won against Värnamo?
Sirius has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Sirius?
Värnamo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sirius - Värnamo were as follows:
31.03.2025
Värnamo
-
Sirius
1:2
04.08.2024
Värnamo
-
Sirius
2:4
20.04.2024
Sirius
-
Värnamo
0:1
25.09.2023
Värnamo
-
Sirius
0:1
04.06.2023
Sirius
-
Värnamo
2:0
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sirius | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Djurgarden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Hacken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Malmo FF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Orgryte | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | AIK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Vasteras SK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Hammarby | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Degerfors | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Kalmar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | GAIS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Halmstad | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 | Goteborg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Mjallby | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
