Paphos vs AEK Larnaca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Cypriot Super Cup Paphos - AEK Larnaca
Result
1:2 penalties
30/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Cup - Final
  • Referee: Fellas K. (Cyp)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
137
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
73
Corner Kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Quina D. ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Angielski K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Quina D. 🟨,
  • 57', Mathias Gonzalez 🟨,
  • 57', Bruno , Mimovic O. ,
  • 57', David Luiz , Pileas K. ,
  • 57', Anderson Silva , Dimata L. ,
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 64', Quina D. , Odefalk W. ,
  • 66', Naoum G. 🟨,
  • 68', Mathias Gonzalez , Rohden M. ,
  • 68', Naoum G. , Rubio W. ,
  • 73', Correia J. , Jaja ,
  • 77', Angielski K. , Bajic R. ,
  • 77', Gnali J. , Izquierdo J. ,
  • 85', Ioannou P. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Rohden M. (Pen),
  • 1, Orsic M. (Pen),
  • 2, Rubio W. (Pen),
  • 2, Jaja (Pen),
  • 3, Jimmy Suarez (Pen),
  • 3, Goldar D. (Pen),
  • 4, Izquierdo J. (Pen),
  • 4, Pileas K. (Pen),
  • 5, Bajic R. (Pen),
  • 5, Pepe (Pen),

Chances of winning


Paphos
47.3%
Draw
28.5%
AEK Larnaca
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 28.4% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 30% 28.3%

Paphos - AEK Larnaca Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.95
(2.15)
3.23
(3.15)
3.81
(3)
8.5%
(11.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paphos - AEK Larnaca?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Paphos (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Paphos will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - GSP Stadium.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 2.
    • Recent performances by Paphos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • AEK Larnaca is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Paphos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Paphos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paphos won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paphos - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
    05.10.2025 AEK Larnaca - Paphos 2:4
    24.05.2025 AEK Larnaca - Paphos 1:0
    18.05.2025 Paphos - AEK Larnaca 2:0
    13.04.2025 AEK Larnaca - Paphos 2:2
    22.12.2024 Paphos - AEK Larnaca 0:1
    Latest results of Paphos
    27.10.2025 Omonia - Paphos 2:1
    21.10.2025 Kairat - Paphos 0:0
    17.10.2025 Paphos - Ethnikos Achna 4:0
    05.10.2025 AEK Larnaca - Paphos 2:4
    30.09.2025 Paphos - Bayern Munich 1:5
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    27.10.2025 AEK Larnaca - APOEL 1:1
    05.10.2025 AEK Larnaca - Paphos 2:4
    02.10.2025 AEK Larnaca - AZ Alkmaar 4:0
    Draw
    2025

    Final
    1PafosAEK Larnaca1 : 2