APOEL vs AEK Larnaca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


APOEL
34.1%
Draw
29.2%
AEK Larnaca
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 29% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 28.6% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • APOEL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for APOEL aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • APOEL - AEK Larnaca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.7)
    3.16
    (3.22)
    2.51
    (2.56)
    8.4%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, APOEL won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, APOEL won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, APOEL won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between APOEL - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
    22.03.2026 AEK Larnaca - APOEL 1:0
    08.02.2026 APOEL - AEK Larnaca 1:2
    27.10.2025 AEK Larnaca - APOEL 1:1
    04.05.2025 AEK Larnaca - APOEL 3:0
    02.04.2025 APOEL - AEK Larnaca 0:1
    Latest results of APOEL
    29.04.2026 APOEL - Apollon Limassol 0:0
    26.04.2026 APOEL - Paphos 3:3
    22.04.2026 Apollon Limassol - APOEL 4:2
    18.04.2026 Omonia - APOEL 2:0
    05.04.2026 APOEL - Aris Limassol 2:1
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    18.04.2026 Paphos - AEK Larnaca 1:1
    14.04.2026 AEK Larnaca - Omonia 0:2
    22.03.2026 AEK Larnaca - APOEL 1:0
    Cypriot First Division Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Omonia31235374:215374
    2AEK Larnaca31187654:262861
    3Apollon31177743:321158
    4Pafos31167859:322755
    5APOEL311471052:371549
    6Aris31139955:332248

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