Aalesunds vs Molde: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Norwegian Eliteserien Aalesunds - Molde
Result
3:1
16/05/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 7
  • Referee: Amland S. (Nor)
Aalesunds - Molde - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Aalesunds
15.4%
Draw
22.1%
Molde
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.6% 25.1% 57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7% 25.2% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Molde's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Molde, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aalesunds - Molde Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.13
    (5.23)
    4.27
    (3.65)
    1.51
    (1.6)
    6.2%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Aalesunds - Molde?
  • Users Predictions: Molde will win (40 of 46 users predict this - 86.96%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.23%96.69%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 7).
    • Aalesunds has the most likely position - 16 (43.25%), project points - 23, currently - 1, a good chance of relegated (72%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Molde has the most likely position - 2 (30.17%), project points - 54, currently - 10, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a small chance of qualify for ucl (9%), a small chance of win league (9%).
    • This event has small quality 27, importance 37, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalesunds won 0.
    • Aalesunds has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Molde is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Molde is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Aalesunds: Ammitzboll A. (Injury) Barmen K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Molde: Ellingsen M. (Knee Injury) Haugen K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Molde: Andersen E. (Injury) Sinyan S. (Injury)
    • Last 25 head-to-head matches Aalesunds won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 21 matches and goals 22-60.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aalesunds won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14-24.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aalesunds - Molde were as follows:
    03.05.2023 Molde - Aalesunds 3:0
    25.03.2023 Aalesunds - Molde 0:3
    18.09.2022 Molde - Aalesunds 3:0
    Latest results of Aalesunds
    13.05.2023 Stabæk - Aalesunds 1:0
    07.05.2023 Aalesunds - Haugesund 0:0
    03.05.2023 Molde - Aalesunds 3:0
    23.04.2023 Aalesunds - Bodø Glimt 0:3
    16.04.2023 Strømsgodset - Aalesunds 1:0
    Latest results of Molde
    13.05.2023 Molde - Strømsgodset 3:2
    07.05.2023 Hamarkameratene - Molde 0:4
    03.05.2023 Molde - Aalesunds 3:0
    23.04.2023 Lillestrøm SK - Molde 2:1
    16.04.2023 Molde - Rosenborg 1:1
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Viking14103138:172133
    2Brann1382323:20326
    3Rosenborg1365215:12323
    4Tromso1171320:15522
    5Bodo/Glimt1061324:101419
    6Sandefjord1160520:16418
    7Sarpsborg 081145218:11717
    8Fredrikstad1252514:13117
    9Kristiansund1352617:19-217
    10Molde1242616:17-114
    11Valerenga1242616:18-214
    12Bryne1142517:20-314
    13HamKam1133512:21-912
    14KFUM Oslo1132615:18-311
    15Stromsgodset1120914:25-116
    16Haugesund1202104:31-272

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen

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