Result
0:1
06/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 3
- Referee: Sinnes S. T. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (487/565) | 78% (293/377) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (487/565) | 78% (293/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (31/53) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (164/199) | 64% (69/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Stenevik H. 🟨,
- 45+3', Ibrahimaj Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Christensen J. ↓, Bender V. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Olsen T. ⚽, Felix Va (A),
- 66', Linnes M. ↓, Gulbrandsen F. ↑,
- 67', Zady C. ↓, Kone-Doherty T. ↑,
- 76', Jenssen U. ↓, Paintsil Y. ↑,
- 80', Hestad E. ↓, Isufi B. ↑,
- 84', Drammeh S. ↓, Jebara C. ↑,
- 89', Bender V. ↓, Haugan E. ↑,
- 90+1', Dahlberg P. 🟨,
- 90+2', Felix Va ↓, Nyheim G. ↑,
- 90+2', Karlsbakk M. ↓, Svenningsen L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Molde
43.5% | Draw
25% | Lillestrøm SK
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Molde - Lillestrøm SK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(1.97) |
3.8 ↓
(3.88) |
3.02 ↓
(3.43) |
5.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Molde - Lillestrøm SK?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Molde will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Lillestrøm will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 29.6% – 90.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Molde (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Molde (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molde won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Lillestrøm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Molde has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Lillestrøm has had a series of away games.
- Molde could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Molde: Daehli M.
(Muscle Injury)
Daga D.
(Injury)
Dahl F.
(Knee Injury)
Kabini S.
(Red Card)
Spiten-Nysaeter O.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lillestrøm: Elkaer F.
(Knee Injury)
Gabrielsen R.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Molde won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Molde won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Molde won against Lillestrøm SK?
Molde has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lillestrøm SK won against Molde?
Lillestrøm SK has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Molde - Lillestrøm SK were as follows:
06.10.2024
Lillestrøm SK
-
Molde
1:2
11.08.2024
Lillestrøm SK
-
Molde
1:2
07.07.2024
Molde
-
Lillestrøm SK
3:0
12.11.2023
Molde
-
Lillestrøm SK
4:0
23.04.2023
Lillestrøm SK
-
Molde
2:1
Latest results of Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tromso | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Viking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Valerenga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fredrikstad | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Molde | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Sandefjord | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Sarpsborg 08 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | KFUM Oslo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Brann | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Bodo/Glimt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Kristiansund | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Rosenborg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | HamKam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 2 |
| 16 | Start | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
