Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 5
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4, SportKlub 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (441/526) | 60% (140/232) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (441/526) | 60% (140/232) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 38% (21/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (113/162) | 52% (27/52) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Aurelio J. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Samu (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Varela A. ↓, Perez N. ↑,
- 56', Mora R. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
- 56', Moura F. ↓, Zaidu ↑,
- 61', Perez N. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
- 63', Pablo Ruan ↓, Witi ↑,
- 66', Margarido T. 🟨,
- 70', Labidi C. 🟨,
- 74', Liziero ↓, Soares F. ↑,
- 74', Labidi C. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 76', Veiga G. 🟨,
- 79', Samu 🟨,
- 84', Paulinho Boia ↓, Joao L. ↑,
- 86', Samu ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 90+1', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 90+9', Leo Santos 🟨,
Chances of winning
Porto
80.2% | Draw
13.5% | Nacional
6.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Porto - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.18 ↑
(1.16) |
7.17 ↑
(6.8) |
14.81 ↑
(14.04) |
5.3%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Porto - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 20 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 78.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 4.
- Porto has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Nacional's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Porto is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Knee Injury)
Deivison
(Inactive)
Fernandes I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Porto: Pepê
(Eye injury)
William Gomes
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 50:11. (average 2.5:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:2. (average 2.9:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Nacional?
Porto has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Porto?
Nacional has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Nacional were as follows:
17.05.2025
Porto
-
Nacional
3:0
12.01.2025
Nacional
-
Porto
2:0
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 21 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Moreirense | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Braga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | Arouca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
| 11 | Estrela | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Nacional | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Estoril | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Tondela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
