Result
10/05/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Santa Clara
47.7% | Draw
27.6% | Nacional
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Santa Clara - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.02) |
3.42 ↑
(3.35) |
3.82 ↑
(3.8) |
5.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Santa Clara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Santa Clara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Nacional?
Santa Clara has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Santa Clara?
Nacional has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Nacional were as follows:
11.01.2026
Nacional
-
Santa Clara
3:3
30.03.2025
Santa Clara
-
Nacional
1:0
04.11.2024
Nacional
-
Santa Clara
2:0
17.03.2024
Santa Clara
-
Nacional
0:1
11.01.2024
Santa Clara
-
Nacional
2:1
Latest results of Santa Clara
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 82:23 | 59 | 76 |
| 3 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
