Result
2:0
19/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31
Chances of winning
Barco
22.4% | Draw
29.1% | Arosa
48.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barco's form might have worsened.Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arosa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barco than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barco - Arosa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.31 ↑
(2.94) |
3.32 ↑
(3.2) |
2 ↓
(2.28) |
3.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barco won 0.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Barco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barco won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home match between the teams, Barco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Barco won against Arosa?
Barco has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arosa won against Barco?
Arosa has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barco - Arosa were as follows:
14.12.2025
Arosa
-
Barco
2:0
15.01.2023
Arosa
-
Barco
2:1
11.09.2022
Barco
-
Arosa
0:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arosa SC | 33 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 55:33 | 22 | 67 |
| 2 | Compostela | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 54:28 | 26 | 65 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | 10 | 57 |
| 4 | Boiro | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:27 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Estradense | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:32 | 11 | 50 |
| 6 | Somozas | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 35:30 | 5 | 50 |
| 7 | Racing Club Villalbes | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 34:28 | 6 | 49 |
| 8 | Lugo B | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 48 |
| 9 | Gran Pena | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 10 | Barco | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
| 11 | Montaneros | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 44:41 | 3 | 45 |
| 12 | Alondras | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 42 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 45:45 | 0 | 40 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 27:40 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 35 |
| 16 | Cambados | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23:39 | -16 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 27:52 | -25 | 25 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25:67 | -42 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
