Result
1:0
05/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 73', 1 - 0, Martin O. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Barco
58% | Draw
26.2% | Noia
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Noia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barco than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Barco - Noia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.53) |
3.5 ↑
(3.49) |
5.78 ↓
(5.98) |
9.1%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Barco is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Noia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Barco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Barco is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Barco will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Barco won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Barco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Barco won against Noia?
Barco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Noia won against Barco?
Noia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barco - Noia were as follows:
23.11.2025
Noia
-
Barco
1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arosa SC | 33 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 55:33 | 22 | 67 |
| 2 | Compostela | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 54:28 | 26 | 65 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | 10 | 57 |
| 4 | Boiro | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:27 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Estradense | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:32 | 11 | 50 |
| 6 | Somozas | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 35:30 | 5 | 50 |
| 7 | Racing Club Villalbes | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 34:28 | 6 | 49 |
| 8 | Lugo B | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 48 |
| 9 | Gran Pena | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 10 | Barco | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
| 11 | Montaneros | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 44:41 | 3 | 45 |
| 12 | Alondras | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 42 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 45:45 | 0 | 40 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 27:40 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 35 |
| 16 | Cambados | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23:39 | -16 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 27:52 | -25 | 25 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25:67 | -42 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
