Result
4:2
04/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Turkish Cup - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | A Spor |
 Turkey | A Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 80% | 20% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', 1 - 0, Yener H. ⚽, Keser B. (A),
- 10', Mintemur E. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Yilmaz E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Celik M. ⚽, Mintemur E. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Keser B. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
- 46', Ulgen A. ↓, Sarikaya S. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 2, Sylla C. ⚽, Sever I. (A),
- 55', Celik M. ↓, Ozdas B. ↑,
- 57', Kabak A. 🟨,
- 57', Kabak A. ↓, Karaoglan Y. ↑,
- 73', Mintemur E. ↓, Ocaklar M. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 2, Sever I. ⚽, Akpinar M. (A),
- 81', Yuksel H. ↓, Tahiroglu M. ↑,
- 81', Poyraz E. ↓, Sekerci M. ↑,
- 81', Acet M. ↓, Birer M. Y. ↑,
- 88', Fernando Andrade ↓, Bayrak M. ↑,
- 88', Sever I. ↓, Billor M. ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, Billor M. ⚽, Bayrak C. (A),
Chances of winning
Erzurumspor
64.8% | Draw
20.2% | Keçiörengücü
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erzurumspor's performance.Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keçiörengücü might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erzurumspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keçiörengücü could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.75) |
4.47 ↑
(3.74) |
6.04 ↑
(4.01) |
6.9%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Erzurumspor (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Erzurumspor (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Erzurumspor (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Erzurumspor (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Erzurumspor (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Erzurumspor (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1, 1st Half - Erzurumspor (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Erzurumspor will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Erzurumspor will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 15 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 4.
- Erzurumspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Keçiörengücü has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Erzurumspor has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Erzurumspor is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Erzurumspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Erzurumspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Keçiörengücü?
Erzurumspor has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Erzurumspor?
Keçiörengücü has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
18.02.2026
Keçiörengücü
-
Erzurumspor
1:2
24.09.2025
Erzurumspor
-
Keçiörengücü
1:1
10.03.2025
Keçiörengücü
-
Erzurumspor
1:3
27.10.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Keçiörengücü
4:0
10.03.2024
Keçiörengücü
-
Erzurumspor
0:2
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Turkish Cup Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Samsunspor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 4 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Aliaga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
| 7 | Bodrumspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Besiktas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Gaziantep | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Rizespor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Kocaelispor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
| 8 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Ranking of third-placed teams | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: )
