Result
2:1
03/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 10
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Pinho P. ⚽, Simoes T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Pires M. ↓, Lottin A. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Munoz J. ⚽,
- 59', Paulo Victor 🟨,
- 59', Rofino V. G. 🟨,
- 60', Muscat Z. 🟨,
- 65', Paulo Victor 🟨,
- 66', 🟨,
- 70', Wellington Carvalho ↓, Bikoro F. ↑,
- 70', Kusso D. ↓, Kiko ↑,
- 77', Pinho P. ↓, Carraca ↑,
- 77', Roberto ↓, Milovanovic U. ↑,
- 87', Ktatau ↓, Joao Teixeira ↑,
- 88', Fernandez P. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
- 88', Daniel Borges ↓, Santos J. ↑,
- 88', Jair da Silva ↓, Michel D. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, van der Gaag J. ⚽,
- 90+3', Munoz J. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Leiria
32.8% | Draw
29.8% | Chaves
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiria's form might have worsened.Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Leiria - Chaves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.41) |
3.08 ↓
(3.25) |
2.55 ↓
(2.77) |
7.1%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leiria - Chaves?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Chaves will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Chaves (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Chaves (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 7).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Chaves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Chaves?
Leiria has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Leiria?
Chaves has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Chaves were as follows:
10.05.2025
Chaves
-
Leiria
0:2
12.01.2025
Leiria
-
Chaves
1:1
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
