Result
1:1
18/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Argentina | DAZN, ESPN |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Canada | FuboTV |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 2 |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | DAZN France |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Peru | ESPN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (461/509) | 90% (398/442) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (461/509) | 90% (398/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (21/36) | 50% (12/24) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (81/108) | 81% (80/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 56% (5/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Paz N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pavlovic S. ↓, Gabbia M. ↑,
- 53', Paz N. 🟨,
- 56', Ricci S. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
- 56', Athekame Z. ↓, Saelemaekers A. ↑,
- 62', Nkunku C. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
- 63', Butez J. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 1, Leao R. ⚽, Jashari A. (A),
- 68', Leao R. 🟨,
- 68', Ramon J. 🟨,
- 71', Van der Brempt I. ↓, Valle A. ↑,
- 71', Paz N. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
- 78', Caqueret M. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 78', Roberto S. ↓, Da Cunha L. ↑,
- 80', Allegri M. 🟥,
- 82', Leao R. ↓, Pulisic C. ↑,
- 87', Saelemaekers A. 🟨,
- 90', Vojvoda M. ↓, Smolcic I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milan
40% | Draw
30% | Como
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milan's form might have worsened.Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Milan - Como Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(1.99) |
3.19 ↓
(3.47) |
3.17 ↓
(3.69) |
4.7%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Milan - Como?
Users Predictions:
59 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 45 - 76.3%). Como will win (votes: 3 - 5.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 18.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 65.4% – 87.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Milan (1.63) (votes: 6 - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- AH 0 - Milan (1.69) (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Milan (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Milan (1.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Milan (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.25 - Milan (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Milan (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Milan (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Como (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 43 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 37 - 86%). Como (votes: 4 - 9.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Optus Stadium.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Recently, Milan has had a series of away games.
- Milan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Milan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Milan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Como?
Milan has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Como won against Milan?
Como has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Como were as follows:
15.01.2026
Como
-
Milan
1:3
15.03.2025
Milan
-
Como
2:1
14.01.2025
Como
-
Milan
1:2
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 65:23 | 42 | 68 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Napoli | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 45:30 | 15 | 59 |
| 4 | Como | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 48:22 | 26 | 54 |
| 5 | Juventus | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 51:28 | 23 | 53 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 29 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 39:23 | 16 | 51 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 | Bologna | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38:34 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Lazio | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:39 | -4 | 38 |
| 11 | Udinese | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33:42 | -9 | 36 |
| 12 | Parma | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 34 |
| 13 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 33 |
| 14 | Torino | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 30 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 34:43 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Lecce | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 21:39 | -18 | 27 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:44 | -21 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 29 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Verona | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 22:51 | -29 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
