Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Imbusia A. ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Wafula D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 83', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mara Sugar
36.4% | Draw
32.7% | Ulinzi Stars
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mara Sugar's form might have worsened.Ulinzi Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulinzi Stars's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Mara Sugar - Ulinzi Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(1.95) |
2.76 ↓
(2.95) |
2.92 ↓
(4.1) |
11%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Mara Sugar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Mara Sugar has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Mara Sugar is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mara Sugar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mara Sugar won against Ulinzi Stars?
Mara Sugar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulinzi Stars won against Mara Sugar?
Ulinzi Stars has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mara Sugar - Ulinzi Stars were as follows:
05.10.2025
Ulinzi Stars
-
Mara Sugar
1:2
04.05.2025
Mara Sugar
-
Ulinzi Stars
1:1
12.01.2025
Ulinzi Stars
-
Mara Sugar
1:0
Latest results of Mara Sugar
Latest results of Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
