Result
1:0
16/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Makwata J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Mathare United
32.1% | Draw
33.9% | Ulinzi Stars
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Ulinzi Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathare United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Mathare United - Ulinzi Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.45) |
2.65 ↓
(2.8) |
2.64 ↓
(2.85) |
11.3%
(11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mathare United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against Ulinzi Stars?
Mathare United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulinzi Stars won against Mathare United?
Ulinzi Stars has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Ulinzi Stars were as follows:
17.05.2025
Mathare United
-
Ulinzi Stars
1:0
01.12.2024
Ulinzi Stars
-
Mathare United
0:0
04.01.2023
Ulinzi Stars
-
Mathare United
3:1
Latest results of Mathare United
Latest results of Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 44:19 | 25 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Tusker | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 24:26 | -2 | 40 |
| 8 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
