Ontario Reign vs Iowa Wild – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
07/01/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2027
Shooting PCT
20% (4/20)11.11% (3/27)
Goalkeeper Saves
2416
Saves PCT
88.89% (24/27)80% (16/20)
Penalties
52
PIM
104
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)20% (1/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
80% (4/5)50% (1/2)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 1)
  • 01:17, 1 - 0, Connors K. (G), Jamsen A. (A), Wright J. (A2)
  • 03:14, 2 - 0, Guttman C. (G), Alexandrov N. (A),
  • 07:22, 2 - 1, Katchouk B. (G), Foudy J. (A), Gleason B. (A2)
  • 18:12, 3 - 1, Wright J. (G), Gawdin G. (A), Hicketts J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 08:30, 3 - 2, Lambos C. (G), Gambrell D. (A), Olausson O. (A2)
  • 12:23, 4 - 2, Chromiak M. (G), Alexandrov N. (A), Bolduc S. (A2)
  • 16:40, 4 - 3, Jones B. (G), Mayhew G. (A), Spacek D. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Ontario Reign
55%
Draw
21.1%
Iowa Wild
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 21.2% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1% 20.3% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Iowa Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iowa Wild than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.7)
    4.33
    (4.39)
    3.85
    (3.84)
    8.5%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 3.
    • Ontario is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Iowa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Iowa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ontario is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 57:55. (average 3.4:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ontario won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 3.6:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild were as follows:
    04.01.2026 Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild 3:0
    23.03.2025 Iowa Wild - Ontario Reign 4:7
    22.03.2025 Iowa Wild - Ontario Reign 4:2
    12.01.2025 Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild 5:2
    10.01.2025 Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild 0:5
    Latest results of Iowa Wild
    04.01.2026 Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild 3:0
    31.12.2025 Iowa Wild - Texas Stars 2:3
    30.12.2025 Iowa Wild - Texas Stars 4:1
    27.12.2025 Iowa Wild - Chicago Wolves 2:1
    20.12.2025 Chicago Wolves - Iowa Wild 0:1
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins553211111182:11887
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears57206823164:17760
    5Bridgeport Islanders57204825170:17856
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms56168626166:18854
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves532171213172:16768
    3Manitoba Moose51224619132:14358
    4Texas Stars54189423162:17158
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign56299216190:15178
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds55219520184:17065
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights532131019174:16858
    8Tucson Roadrunners551312822171:18258
    9Calgary Wranglers571091424152:20852
    10Abbotsford Canucks57138630132:19148


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch56323417184:13674
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies56207920176:18063
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets56173927144:17949

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )