Coachella Valley Firebirds vs Ontario Reign – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 OT
11/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2940
Shooting PCT
6.9% (2/29)7.5% (3/40)
Goalkeeper Saves
3727
Saves PCT
92.5% (37/40)93.1% (27/29)
Penalties
42
PIM
84
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
10
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (2/2)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 2)
  • 06:23, 0 - 1, Ziemmer K. (G), Hughes J. (A),
  • 10:59, 0 - 2, Chromiak M. (G), Gawdin G. (A), Alexandrov N. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 13:58, 1 - 2, Stephens M. (G),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 16:45, 2 - 2, Jugnauth T. (G),
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 01', 2 - 3, (G),

Chances of winning


Coachella Valley Firebirds
32.8%
Draw
22.6%
Ontario Reign
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 24% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 26.4% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coachella Valley Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ontario Reign's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coachella Valley Firebirds than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coachella Valley Firebirds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ontario Reign, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.45)
    4.11
    (3.75)
    2.08
    (2.3)
    7.7%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Ontario will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • Coachella Valley is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    • Ontario is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coachella Valley won 3.
    • Coachella Valley has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ontario is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Coachella Valley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Coachella Valley won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 58:59. (average 2.9:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Coachella Valley won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 2.9:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign were as follows:
    10.04.2026 Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds 4:1
    01.04.2026 Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign 0:7
    14.03.2026 Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds 3:4
    13.03.2026 Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign 3:2
    01.02.2026 Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds 1:5
    AHL Table
    Main

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 724113216239:162110
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 72406917243:186101
    3Charlotte Checkers ✔ 71349523234:18691
    4Bridgeport Islanders72277830219:22276
    5Springfield Thunderbirds72284832207:24072
    6Hershey Bears71256931205:22671
    7Lehigh Valley Phantoms712110634209:24368
    8Hartford Wolf Pack72224838190:25360


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 71438515251:153107
    2Chicago Wolves ✔ 712691521220:21785
    3Texas Stars ✔ 72289629222:22880
    4Manitoba Moose ✔ 72296829185:21678
    5Milwaukee Admirals ✔ 711913732205:21671
    6Iowa Wild72207936179:22663
    7Rockford IceHogs72208539196:24561


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign ✔ 723611520237:18799
    2Colorado Eagles ✔ 723291120237:19893
    3Henderson Silver Knights ✔ 723451221263:22590
    4Coachella Valley Firebirds ✔ 712813624233:21488
    5Bakersfield Condors ✔ 722981223244:23686
    6San Jose Barracuda ✔ 723010428243:23084
    7San Diego Gulls ✔ 722761227224:22878
    8Tucson Roadrunners7221131028230:23978
    9Abbotsford Canucks71198737169:23261
    10Calgary Wranglers721491534203:26961


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 712912822231:19690
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 72383724237:18989
    3Cleveland Monsters ✔ 712313926211:22381
    4Toronto Marlies ✔ 712781026225:22680
    5Utica Comets722641131199:22071
    6Rochester Americans71229931210:23071
    7Belleville Senators72217935223:26265

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Charlotte Checkers is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Chicago Wolves is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Texas Stars is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Manitoba Moose is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Milwaukee Admirals is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Ontario Reign is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Colorado Eagles is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Henderson Silver Knights is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Coachella Valley Firebirds is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Bakersfield Condors is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    San Jose Barracuda is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    San Diego Gulls is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Cleveland Monsters is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Toronto Marlies is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )