Result
1:2
01/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 1, Benjumea E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Santa Amalia
18.9% | Draw
32.2% | Llerenense
48.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Amalia's form might have worsened.Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llerenense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+23.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Amalia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-21.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Llerenense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santa Amalia - Llerenense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.22 ↑
(2.2) |
3.66 ↑
(3.02) |
2.41 ↓
(3.17) |
-15.1%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 12).
- Santa Amalia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Llerenense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Santa Amalia could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Amalia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Santa Amalia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Amalia won against Llerenense?
Santa Amalia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llerenense won against Santa Amalia?
Llerenense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Amalia - Llerenense were as follows:
11.05.2025
Llerenense
-
Santa Amalia
1:2
12.01.2025
Santa Amalia
-
Llerenense
0:1
Latest results of Santa Amalia
Latest results of Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 69:21 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 61:27 | 34 | 68 |
| 3 | Azuaga | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 53:30 | 23 | 62 |
| 4 | Moralo | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 61 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 56 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:41 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 51:50 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Puebla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 12 | Llerenense | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 28:55 | -27 | 30 |
| 16 | Diocesano | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 29:59 | -30 | 29 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 24:44 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
