Llerenense vs Puebla de la Calzada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/01/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 70', 1 - 0, Martinez D. ,

Chances of winning


Llerenense
49.2%
Draw
28.4%
Puebla de la Calzada
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 28.6% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 28.6% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Llerenense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Llerenense aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Llerenense - Puebla de la Calzada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.8)
    3.18
    (3.1)
    4.03
    (4)
    10.6%
    (12.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).
    • Recent form of Llerenense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Puebla has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Llerenense has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Llerenense is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Llerenense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Llerenense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Llerenense - Puebla de la Calzada were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Llerenense - Puebla de la Calzada 2:1
    19.10.2024 Puebla de la Calzada - Llerenense 0:3
    Latest results of Llerenense
    20.12.2025 Jaraíz - Llerenense 1:1
    07.12.2025 Villanovense - Llerenense 1:0
    16.11.2025 Jerez - Llerenense 4:1
    09.11.2025 Badajoz - Llerenense 1:1
    Latest results of Puebla de la Calzada
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito30197459:194064
    2CD Badajoz30195649:262359
    3Moralo30169549:282157
    4Azuaga30167746:271955
    5Jaraiz301410648:272152
    6Cabeza del Buey301312539:231651
    7Villafranca301361136:35145
    8Villanovense301281037:33444
    9Montijo301171236:34240
    10Jerez CF30717650:44638
    11Llerenense301061428:36-836
    12Santa Amalia30961529:46-1733
    13Puebla307111228:40-1232
    14Diocesano306101428:49-2128
    15Gevora30681628:48-2026
    16Pueblonuevo30751824:51-2726
    17CD Calamonte303131422:36-1422
    18Montehermoso30571820:54-3422

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