Result
1:1
02/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Cozza W. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', 1 - 1, Varela I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castrumfavara
40.1% | Draw
30.1% | Acireale
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrumfavara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Acireale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acireale than the current prediction. (-2%)
Castrumfavara - Acireale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.3) |
3.02 ↑
(2.94) |
3.04 ↓
(3.16) |
10.3%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Acireale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Castrumfavara will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castrumfavara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Castrumfavara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Acireale?
Castrumfavara has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Acireale won against Castrumfavara?
Acireale has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castrumfavara - Acireale were as follows:
23.11.2025
Acireale
-
Castrumfavara
1:2
12.01.2025
Castrumfavara
-
Acireale
1:0
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Latest results of Acireale
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 60:29 | 31 | 66 |
| 2 | Nissa | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47:26 | 21 | 64 |
| 3 | Reggina | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 40:21 | 19 | 63 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo ✔ | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 57 |
| 5 | Gelbison ✔ | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 43:32 | 11 | 57 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 33 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 31:35 | -4 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41:43 | -2 | 43 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 39 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 36:45 | -9 | 37 |
| 12 | Enna | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | USD Ragusa | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 22:32 | -10 | 34 |
| 14 | AS Acireale | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 37:49 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Vibonese | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 29 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 31:46 | -15 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno ✔ | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 21:68 | -47 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Athletic Palermo is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
Gelbison is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
Paterno is Relegated to
