Result
1:1
03/04/2026 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 23
- Referee: King A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (279/376) | 73% (278/383) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (279/376) | 73% (278/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (18/57) | 29% (17/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (60/99) | 68% (81/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 93% (13/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Girdwood-Reich J. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Alagich E. ⚽,
- 45+1', Gallegos L. F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Muniz J. 🟨,
- 48', 1 - 1, Gallegos L. F. ⚽, Elliot C. (A),
- 53', Cosgrove S. 🟨,
- 57', Verstraete L. 🟨,
- 65', Girdwood-Reich J. ↓, Sakai H. ↑,
- 70', Verstraete L. ↓, Howieson C. ↑,
- 74', Yull J. ↓, Anselmo ↑,
- 78', Muniz J. ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
- 83', Randall J. ↓, Rogerson L. ↑,
- 86', Dukuly Y. ↓, Duzel L. ↑,
- 89', Sakai H. 🟨,
- 89', Burkitt B. 🟨,
- 90+2', May G. 🟨,
- 90+6', Elliot C. 🟨,
- 90+8', Hall D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Adelaide United
37.4% | Draw
25.3% | Auckland FC
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Auckland FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Auckland FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auckland FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Adelaide United - Auckland FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.87) |
3.74 ↓
(3.95) |
2.54 ↑
(2.22) |
5.6%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Auckland FC?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Auckland will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 25.5% – 74.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Adelaide: Goodwin C.
(Groin Injury)
Pierias D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Auckland: Pijnaker N.
(Inactive)
Sail O.
(Inactive)
Sakai H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 2.3:2.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Adelaide won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Auckland FC?
Adelaide United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auckland FC won against Adelaide United?
Auckland FC has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Auckland FC were as follows:
01.11.2025
Auckland FC
-
Adelaide United
2:1
28.02.2025
Auckland FC
-
Adelaide United
4:4
22.01.2025
Adelaide United
-
Auckland FC
2:2
Latest results of Adelaide United
Latest results of Auckland FC
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets ✔ | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 44 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:23 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:38 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 27 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Newcastle Jets is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
