Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 21
- Referee: Abraham B. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 6 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 6 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (372/446) | 88% (443/504) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 17 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (372/446) | 88% (443/504) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (16/46) | 47% (17/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (35/63) | 80% (127/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 2.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Alagich E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Lavale O. ↓, Blair N. ↑,
- 57', Taniguchi K. ↓, James Ngor S. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 0, James Ngor S. ⚽,
- 68', White R. ↓, Garuccio J. ↑,
- 68', Jovanovic L. ↓, Duzel L. ↑,
- 68', Muniz J. ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
- 68', Dukuly Y. ↓, Anselmo ↑,
- 79', Kitto R. ↓, Ayoubi A. ↑,
- 83', Auglah A. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Alagich E. ⚽, Burkitt B. (A),
- 90', Brandtman B. 🟨,
- 90+2', Roux S. ↓, Nasso J. ↑,
- 90+2', Eames H. ↓, Steele H. ↑,
- 90+4', Kikianis P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Central Coast Mariners
32.9% | Draw
25.2% | Adelaide United
41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.56) |
3.73 ↑
(3.58) |
2.26 ↓
(2.39) |
5.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Central Coast will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Adelaide will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 44.1% – 94.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Central Coast (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Adelaide United will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 2 - 50%). Adelaide (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 3.
- Central Coast is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Adelaide has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Adelaide could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Central Coast: Clark S.
(Injury)
Di Pizio M.
(Injury)
Roux S.
(Injury)
Sainsbury T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Theoharous C.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Adelaide: Goodwin C.
(Groin Injury)
Pierias D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Adelaide United?
Central Coast Mariners has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Central Coast Mariners?
Adelaide United has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United were as follows:
04.01.2026
Adelaide United
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:4
13.12.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Adelaide United
0:4
26.10.2024
Adelaide United
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:1
01.05.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Adelaide United
2:0
03.02.2024
Adelaide United
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:4
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Latest results of Adelaide United
Australian A-League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
